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01 June 2010
It is often said by
senators, when they stand to address a given issue or debate a given
bill, that they do so with pleasure, and I am sure they do. In this
particular case I do so with pleasure because I am struck by the
magnitude and importance of Bill C-311, which has been compounded
significantly by virtue of the fact that it has been supported by the
majority of the elected representatives in the House of Commons.
Bill C-311 lays out
a number of provisions that will assist Canadians and the Government of
Canada in achieving important obligations in the fight against climate
change. This bill was authored and presented by New Democratic member of
Parliament, Bruce Hyer. I have had the pleasure of working with Mr.
Hyer for several weeks, and I am struck with his commitment to this
important issue.
As I proceed with
my comments, the deputy leader will realize that I, unlike him, am
rising above partisan debate and partisan remarks.
Senator Cowan: You better explain that to him,
because they do not know.
Senator Mitchell: They would know, because their
leader wrote the letter with the Bloc and the New Democrats to propose a
coalition prior to their winning a minority government a few years ago.
I want senators to remember that.
Not to be diverted,
I have grown to understand, appreciate and value and Mr. Hyer's
commitment to this important issue and to doing something about it. He
has a career of working in the wilds of Canada. He understands the
environment intimately and he feels very strongly about this bill, as do
I.
Mr. Hyer was not
alone in the House of Commons in supporting this bill. It received a
broad level of support from all three opposition parties representing 60
to 65 per cent of the Canadian population. That illustrates the thrust
behind this bill.
In a specific sense
this bill follows on from Bill C-288, the Kyoto implementation bill
that we passed here several years ago. To some extent it provided a
function and a service in the development of policy, although it has to
some extent also been neglected by government. Its requirement for
ongoing planning and reporting by government expires in 2012, and this
bill will pick up where the Kyoto bill, Bill C-288, left off.
This bill does a
number of things, honourable senators. I want to underline, particularly
for my colleagues across the way, that this bill is not aggressive in
the way that it has been construed by some, including, perhaps, their
colleagues in the House of Commons. The bill fundamentally directs the
government to plan. That cannot be that big a chore given that the
government must be planning now. It has established and announced
targets and programs. The bill simply brings the planning process out
into the public eye. That is the first step.
The second thing
that it does is to require an audit of how the plans are being
implemented and a review of how the plans are established before they
are implemented. The environmental commissioner will be charged with the
responsibility of reviewing the government's five-year plans leading up
to 2050. The national round table on the environment and the economy
will be responsible for assessing where those plans have gone, what they
have accomplished and whether they are sustaining the trajectory
necessary to reach the 2050 targets and other targets that will ensure
that we do our part and meet our obligation in this fight against
climate change.
The bill
establishes one irrevocable target while the other target that it
establishes is not irrevocable. Both targets share a significance to the
extent that they are based on science that says that we have climate
change and we cannot allow it to produce temperature increases of
greater than 2 degrees. That target is not a surprise because the Prime
Minister himself has established his commitment to the target of
limiting climate change to two degrees. He did that twice. He did it at
last year's G8 conference as well as at Copenhagen. That target is not
particularly controversial, given that the Prime Minister has accepted
it.
The bill calls for a
target of 80 per cent reduction of greenhouse gas emissions based on
1990 levels by 2050. The government's own target is 80 per cent
reduction from 2005 levels by 2050. One could say that that is a
difference of consequence, but when you consider that it is spread over
40 years, it is of almost negligible difference year by year and could
easily be achieved by a government intent on that second target. If it
can achieve that, it can certainly easily achieve the one of below 25
per cent by 1990 levels.
The more
controversial target is the 25 per cent reduction below 1990 levels by
2020. That is seen to be too aggressive. The parliamentary secretary
responsible for this file said that it would be a disaster for our
economy. However, that is not a required target in this bill. The
government does not have to accept that target. It does have to accept
the 2050 target but not the 2020 target by any means.
As soon as the
government establishes its first plan for 2015 — and it could do that
tomorrow — the second target no longer applies. The government is given a
great deal of flexibility in this bill to establish a series of targets
up to 2050 to increase or moderate the trajectory of those plans as
long as the overall longer-term target of 80 per cent is achieved by
2050. It does all of those things.It underlines planning; it enhances
the planning's significance and impacts by requiring review by the
environmental commissioner and the post-application implementation
review by the national round table; and it establishes targets as
guidelines, as a demonstration of commitment to the science that is
required to be accepted. The government does accept them, as I said, but
those are not unreasonable when you do the analysis of the bill and you
see what the possibilities are.
In fact, it leads
me to a conclusion that I do not see why the government would not have
supported this bill, and I will get into that later. They are planning.
The targets are not unreasonable, given what they have already accepted
and said they would do. It would be great politics for them in accepting
this bill, which is seen by the environmental community and many
Canadians as being enlightened in its approach in dealing with climate
change, and there would be little economic downside, if any. In fact, I
believe there will be a great deal of economic upside, and I will talk
about that as well.
There is a real
urgency to action and to dealing with this problem. We all see the
physical impact of climate change, and I will talk about the science of
that. We all know at some deep level — or maybe not such a deep level —
that it is occurring. Look at what has happened to the fisheries on the
East Coast and the West Coast; look at the drought across the Prairie
provinces; look at the sea level increases in the North — they are
having an impact on the North and everywhere; look at what is happening
to the pine beetle and the forests burning in British Columbia. I do not
know if that is the reason in Quebec, but I would be interested in
having a look. The point is that although someone might say these kinds
of impacts are not significant — maybe one or two are not directly
climate related — but when you have this preponderance of events that
are out of the ordinary, many of them absolutely unprecedented,
occurring at the same time with all kinds of evidence that temperatures
are rising and are causing the change in the climate in this country and
in the world, then you have to begin to understand that this is
occurring.
The IPCC has said
that there is about a 90 per cent chance that it is occurring and that
we are causing it, and the IPCC has defended those miniscule attacks.
The old story is if there was a 90 per cent chance that the plane you
were about to get on was going to go down, how would you react? You
would do something about it. We have to do something about it. People
can say that these are unrelated incidents. The science says they are
not, but the fact is they are occurring in a way that is damaging
economies profoundly and could begin to damage economies infinitely in a
way that would make any kind of investment impact, in trying to solve
the problem, absolutely miniscule. In fact, I am not so sure, as I have
said, that the investment impact will be negative at all. It will
probably be positive.
The other thing
that addresses and enhances the urgency of this bill and the need to
embrace the action it calls for is what is happening with other nations.
Whether or not we think it is occurring — believe me, I do, and I know
we all do — and whether or not we feel that we are at some disadvantage
in that process, the fact is that other nations have accepted that it is
occurring. Other nations are beginning to take action and are
undertaking economic initiatives that will at least leave us behind and
at worst damage our ability to trade with them.
Nowhere is this
more profound than in the case of the American power act, which was
presented about three weeks ago by several senators in the United
States. This is not their first draft. This is an iteration of that
power act. Because they have been working at it for so long and it has
come back in evolutionary form, it is getting closer to the likelihood
of being passed. What they have laid out is very interesting, namely,
the cap-and-trade system.
They will sell
allocations to those companies that will be subject to caps. Those
companies will have to buy credits and they say that most of the money
will be returned to the consumers. They are taking steps to ensure that
the market for allocations for carbon credits, will not be manipulated
and cannot be manipulated. This is an important step. They have pointed
to specific ways to ensure that occurs. They will put a collar on the
price, which cannot be higher or lower than certain limits. Second, they
will not allow people to speculate. Third, you can only buy them or
sell them if you are actually under the cap-and-trade regime. You cannot
buy or sell them because you want to speculate on them. You have to put
up real money. You cannot buy or sell on margin, I would presume, so
you can specifically limit how that thing applies and deal with some of
those excesses that people perceive to be a problem or a potential
problem with that kind of a market.
One element of this
act that should be very urgent to us is that they, of course, are
calling for border adjustments, and they are calling for a zero
conventional and other oil import regime. They do not want to be
dependent upon imported oil, and we export a lot of oil to them. They
are prepared to put border adjustments, tariffs or penalties by another
name, on products that we would like to export. That will not be just
oil and gas by any means. It will also be manufactured products that
have not been manufactured under a sufficiently rigorous carbon limit
regime. Then we would not be able to sell those products to the United
States.
A number of things
can be taken from this. One is that they are progressing in a way that
we have to be very conscious of economically, if we are to continue our
trade with the U.S., and two, they are planning. They are not afraid to
present that plan publicly. It presents a public planning model to us,
and, second, a much greater urgency in getting this done. There are many
advantages to plans and reviewing plans. Once they are public, you
begin to harness the energy focus, and commitment of the private sector.
You begin to harness the energy, commitment and focus of the other
sectors, the people working in government and who are responsible for
achieving these objectives. You cannot manage what you cannot measure.
That is why it is so important to have objective public measurement, as
would be called for in this bill by the round table on economy and
environment.
My next point is
that we disagree on many things in the Senate and in our political
process here — and that is great because debate is wonderful. However,
there comes a point in time when we have a chance to agree on something
very important, something that, in many respects, should transcend
specific values some of us might think we hold that do not allow us to
embrace that issue. There comes a point in time that gives us a chance
to do something that has a magnitude and an impact that is broad and
significant, that is not just for tomorrow but is for eons to come.
Honourable senators, this is one of those issues. It has transcendence
in its importance for all of us, for our children and for the world. It
also transcends partisan consideration. The fact is that we all agree to
it. I have said it before and I will say it again: the Prime Minister
agrees to the two degree limit; he has accepted an 80 per cent target
that is well within the realm of the 80 per cent target for 2050
presented in this bill; and he is not being forced to do anything by
this planning process that is contrary to what, clearly, he and his
Minister of the Environment must be doing. They are planning now. They
have programs and processes.
I want to make the
case that we can agree on this, and that it is important that we agree
on this. We have this chance to actually agree to do the right thing and
to support this measure — I can hardly believe I am saying this — and
to see the government gets some credit for doing the right thing on this
very important environmental file.I thought I would go through the
arguments I have heard against this bill, and against the idea of doing
whatever it is we have to do with climate change. Then hopefully I could
prevail upon several senators who are predisposed to vote against it,
get them to vote for it, pass it and really do something.
The first argument
really underlines — and it is not as explicit any more — the debate and
doubt about climate change and taking dramatic action and that is the
problems people have with the science. I have said it a couple of times
and I will repeat it again. There is no one on that side who does not
believe in the science, certainly not my colleague.
The science has
been assaulted. Certainly over the last year it received some hits but,
when the specific areas about which the science was attacked are
identified, the conclusion is that they have been dispelled or
explained. One was the number of emails in East Anglia. That has been
absolutely dispelled. Yes, it revealed frustration and yes, some of them
should not have been written the way they were written, but it
certainly did not in any way taint the type of research, science and
conclusions the scientists had drawn.
Then there have
been a couple of other cases about the glaciers in the Himalayas. Yes,
they are not melting as fast as it was said somewhere in a thousand
pages of the IPCC’S fourth report. The fact remains that glaciers are
melting.
Honourable
senators, the science is very strong. When we hear from people who are
skeptical we do not ever see actual science that supports their
skepticism. They certainly can nitpick at certain features of the
science that supports climate change, but they cannot find ways to
defend their arguments.
Some people have
moved from pure skepticism that climate change is occurring, to
skepticism that it is occurring but we are not causing it. My answer to
them is — as I have said very often — if we are not causing it then we
have a real problem, because we cannot fix it. The prospects of that
scenario would make anyone hope that, in fact, we are causing it. There
is overwhelming scientific evidence and support.
I note that the
national academies of science in all of the G8 major industrialized
nations have clearly endorsed the conclusion that we are causing climate
change, it is occurring faster than we imagined and we absolutely have
to do something about it. Science stands up very well when given a
chance and really underlines and backs up this bill; remembering that
this bill is premised upon the idea of a limit of 2-degrees increase in
temperature.
Second, there was
some argument or debate about when Bill C-311 was originally presented
as Bill C-377. That debate was around whether it gave too much power to
the executive and whether you could use a bill of that nature to
essentially extend criminal powers to a realm outside of criminal law.
What was determined by many experts and written into this version of the
bill were some specifications that support specific powers for the
executive but not too the extent that they erode the power of the houses
of Parliament to watch government in that regard. It also has a
provision whereby CEPA can be included under the administration of this
act, and it has already passed constitutional muster in the
determination of whether you can apply criminal-like sanctions under a
law that is not the criminal law of Canada. Those constitutional
arguments have been met.
Honourable
senators, it is also true that this bill has been approved by
authorities in the House of Commons in meeting the legislative
requirements That is of some consequence because these bills are given
great and rigorous review to ensure that they meet requirements, whether
they are, among other things, a money bill and constitutionally
compatible.
Also there is, as a
final default, the peace, order and good government clause, which is
not necessarily full support for the argument that this is
constitutional, but it certainly does derive precedent that further
strengthens this case. There is not a problem with the constitutionality
of this bill.
Third, the issue of
targets has been construed as a problem for the government. I have
talked about it briefly and I will talk about it again. The relationship
between the 2020 target of 25 per cent below 1990 levels and economic
"disaster" is well overblown by the parliamentary secretary who used
those words and, in fact, there is very little proof of any economic
disaster occurring from any proposed climate change policies.
Just as an aside, I
would like to say something that is very interesting to me. I cannot
really remember seeing cases in any number of economic policy,
government policy, and environmental government policy and environmental
business policy that have hurt businesses or economies. In fact, good
environmental policy absolutely protects and builds economies and
businesses.
This concern is
really dispelled by virtue of the fact that the government does not have
to accept that target. They can accept a much different target and
focus on pacing their achievement over the next 40 years until 2050.
Setting that aside, I do not think targets are a problem at all.
The economics of
the bill constitute the core problem for most people. Again,
Parliamentary Secretary Warawa did say that this bill would create an
economic disaster. Essentially he is contradicting the Prime Minister,
who has said that the government accepts the science of the 2-degree
limit, so you cannot have it both ways. However, it is okay, it is all
good, because I do not see even remotely where the economic disaster
would occur, unless it is in the continuation of climate change —
climate change that is so far hurting the economies of the Maritimes and
B.C. and probably some of the central provinces, the Prairie provinces,
not to mention the problem with lowering water levels in the Great
Lakes and what that will do to shipping and property values around them.
That is the economic problem.
People say it will
wreck the economy and it will be a disaster, as Warawa said, to do
something about climate change. We had to fundamentally restructure the
economy to win the Second World War, as did Britain. It did not wreck
their economy. It did not wreck our economy. It created some of the
strongest industrial economies in the Western world. Therefore it is not
immediately obvious that that scenario would occur at all. In fact,
when we consider the world taking on major environmental initiatives
like acid rain, we find that it is not overwhelmingly costly. What we
find is it is actually done in about one tenth the cost in about one
tenth the time, and in that case it actually created an industrial
initiative. It created opportunity.
Honourable
senators, it does not follow that climate change initiatives will hurt
economies. In Britain, 550,000 clean jobs have been created by a
government and by an economy that has doubled the achievement of its
Kyoto commitment, or all but done so and will have by 2012.
(1550)
The real cost to
the markets of reducing one tonne of carbon in Europe today is about $15
to $20. At that price, we could have fulfilled our Kyoto commitment if
nothing else, and I am not arguing that we should have done so. Had we
done nothing but buy reductions where they are cheap and easy to do so,
it would have cost about $5 billion a year. That is all it would have
cost us. That should say something to the conservative market-driven
mind and that maybe it is not as expensive as we think it is. Maybe once
we get going, we will find that it drives itself. We will find a way to
do this through the creativity, commitment, energy and intelligence of
Canadian business and Canadians generally. I have every confidence that
they will find absolutely a way to do this much more cheaply than the
cynics suggest it will cost.
We do have studies
on the other side of it, it is very clear. The most recent one, which is
excellent, was sponsored by TD Bank and prepared specifically by Dr.
Mark Jaccard, a well-known, internationally renowned environmental
scientist from Simon Fraser University. The study concluded that if we
carry on with business as usual until 2050, there will be a growth of
about 2.4 per cent. If we make the move to reduce the rate of climate
change to the 2020 figures, growth would be about 0.1 percentage points
less, at 2.3 per cent instead of 2.4 per cent. I do not believe that is
exactly the right conclusion, because economists are conservative and
will not overplay the possibilities. If we are within 0.1 percentage
point in growth by doing it versus not doing it, why would we not do it?
Once we get started, we will find the growth to be even greater. How
can it not be greater when one invests in an economy?
If it were not the
case, then this government never would have introduced the stimulus
package, which proves that investment stimulates an economy. To say that
we should not invest in a green revolution during the next Industrial
Revolution because it is too expensive is to say that we should not have
invested in the last one. That cost money, too, but, thankfully,
generations before us had the wherewithal to take the new and the
unknown and to invest for the sake of a future that would be different.
My economic
argument is that there is no danger. On the other hand, we have real
danger if we do not proceed more quickly. If one wants to wreck an
economy, just continue to allow climate change to spiral. That would
demonstrate the real danger to the economy. If one wants to hurt an
economy, just hold it back and hold back Canadian business when it wants
to get going and it wants to compete but it does not quite know what
the rules of the game will be. While the plan called for in this bill
will not be entirely enough to give business a sense of security about
what the rules of the game will be, it will certainly give direction
upon which they could begin to do their planning and much of their
thinking for the future. They might even begin to act more aggressively
than what we see today.
Honourable
senators, when you analyze all of the issues related to this bill, you
will readily conclude that much of the concern raised over this bill to
this point really does not apply. This bill will not hurt the economy.
The government is not limited in what it is able to do under this
planning section. In fact, it is probably already planning and I would
give it credit for that because I see some of its announcements that
suggest it is so. Once we see the plans, we will engage in further
debate with better participation and produce better ideas. Once we
review and audit their progress and implementation, then we will have
greater motivation for people to do what needs to be done and to achieve
it. The sooner we get started, the better it will be. For each day of
inaction that goes by, we are losing not only on the climate change
side, but also on the economic side with those countries with which we
compete. They are progressing much more rapidly than we are. The U.S.
spends 18 times per capita on clean technologies and renewable energy
technologies than we spend in Canada. How can we compete if we do not
get started? At some point, we will be so far behind that we will not be
able to keep up.
I ask honourable
senators to consider these arguments and to deem this bill an important
piece of proposed legislation. It will give Canada a chance to do
something important and special, leaving a legacy for our children. We
will begin to see its importance and impact just scant years after we
begin to act on it in the things it will cause and the energies it will
harness.
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